CIBC Trims PT, Estimates On Talisman Energy On Conservative Guidance

 Jan 11, 2012 |

 

CIBC World Markets Inc. trimmed its price target on Talisman Energy Inc. (TSX: TLM.TO) (NYSE: TLM) to US$22.50 from US$23.00, saying it views the company's production and capex budget update as slightly negative.

"TLM will spend $4.0B in 2012, in line with CIBCe of $3.9B. Production in 2012 is guided to 425-446 kBoe/d, a growth rate of 0-5%; however, this is at low end of TLM's original nearterm growth plans of 5%-10% as dry gas growth as been pulled back," CIBC said.

"We believe TLM's guidance is deliberately very conservative given two guidance downgrades in 2011," CIBC analyst Andrew Potter wrote in a note.

Potter, who has "Sector Outperformer" rating on the stock, said he has reduced its medium-term forecasts to reflect lower N. Sea volumes, resulting in a slight decrease to NAV. He also trimmed his 2012 production forecast to 444,554 boe/d from 454,954 boe/d.

Potter moved down his 2012 EPS estimate for the company to US$0.89 from US$0.95 and 2013 EPS estimate to US$1.09 from US$1.12.

The stock is currently trading 0.8% lower at $12.39 on the Toronto Stock Exchange. On the NYSE, shares fell 0.65%.



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